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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927305015013544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+97Teleop
+97Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +86
14Coral scored#4
52Coral points14
4Processor algae#0
8Net algae#2
24Processor points0
32Net points8
56Algae points8
108Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
0Foul points6
135Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#15
45.93.2
44.147.3
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 8.6
122
#6
37.32.2
38.936.7
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Second
2914
#35
25.43.2
22.225.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
red by 9.2
1446
#27
16.32.2
18.416.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Third
23.93.2
20.123.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 12.7
11.22.2
13.311.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed