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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126875010015020014698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave6
9Coral scored#2
45Coral points10
51Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
6Processor points18
20Net points24
26Algae points42
81Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#4
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
146Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.71.9
46.148.1
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 13.4
686
#14
38.30.6
34.935.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
Second
41.81.9
39.241.2
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
red by 11.2
9033
#12
30.50.6
29.430.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Third
1908
#20
34.21.9
31.433.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 9.5
24.70.6
24.124.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed