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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67930204060801001201401609090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
63Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
90Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#9
27.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
blue by 15.4
5338
#19
42.9
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
9403
#18
19.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 15.2
34.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
4472
#16
17.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 10.2
2988
#32
7.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned