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Qual 722025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red84
242122.5
253442.7
968414.7
Blue142
206811.9
219950.9
83645.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010340608012014016018084142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
57Total teleop88
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
84Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
42.70.1
43.7→43.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
blue by 8.2
2199
#1
50.93.1
49.3→52.3
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
2421
#31
22.50.1
23.8→24.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 22.8
836
#5
45.33.1
38.7→41.7
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Third
9684
#37
14.70.1
14.5→14.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
red by 2.8
2068
#29
11.93.1
8.3→11.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned