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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525802040801001201401603148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +9
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
8Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
8Foul points0
31Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2963
#13
16.71.4
18.116.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 3.4
3714
#22
20.00.2
20.220.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Second
5587
#33
11.31.4
13.812.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 8.5
2186
#17
19.80.2
17.217.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Third
6882
#26
11.21.4
12.611.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 1.9
623
#38
13.10.2
13.313.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned