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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133985015020062123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +56
5Coral scored#16
19Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
25Total teleop81
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
62Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.4
52.851.4
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 8.0
5338
#19
42.90.5
42.442.9
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
9072
#15
45.91.4
47.846.4
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 15.4
9033
#12
30.50.5
30.130.6
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Third
2421
#31
22.51.4
24.423.0
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 1.3
23.90.5
23.423.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4