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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123885010015020094118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+48
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points19
44Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +53
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
0Processor points12
4Net points24
4Algae points36
22Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +24
24Foul points0
94Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.70.9
49.148.3
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 13.4
686
#14
38.30.7
35.836.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
Second
836
#5
45.30.9
42.841.9
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 11.0
34.30.7
31.832.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
6326
#36
19.60.9
17.116.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 0.2
2186
#17
19.80.7
17.318.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1