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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401060502002503000140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+140
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +16
17Coral scored#23
61Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
87Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#9
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +140
-124Foul points6
0Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#1DQ
50.90.4
51.450.9
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 16.7
1908
#20
34.20.3
35.035.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
9072
#15DQ
45.90.4
46.445.9
Auto10.3
Teleop34.2
End1.4
red by 18.4
611
#9
27.50.3
28.328.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
2421
#31DQ
22.50.4
23.022.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
blue by 4.6
1885
#34
27.20.3
28.028.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2