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Red140
83645.3
632619.6
62051.7
Blue119
12237.3
206811.9
141841.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169050100150200140119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+45Teleop
+35Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#9
56Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
80Total teleop56
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points14
140Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.70.7
48.349.0
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 9.9
41.80.3
41.441.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
Second
836
#5
45.30.7
41.942.6
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 8.0
122
#6
37.30.3
37.037.3
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Third
6326
#36
19.60.7
16.217.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
red by 7.7
2068
#29
11.90.3
11.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6