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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069140608012014016018020081112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
56Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
15Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
81Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#19
42.90.4
42.942.5
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
red by 4.5
686
#14
38.30.6
36.537.1
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
Second
9033
#12
30.50.4
30.630.2
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
blue by 3.8
34.30.6
32.533.1
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
23.90.4
23.923.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 4.1
2186
#17
19.80.6
18.018.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1