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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110905015020025030016355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+108Teleop
+120Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +87
21Coral scored#4
75Coral points14
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
105Total teleop18
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points12
163Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.71.2
49.050.2
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 17.5
1908
#20
34.21.2
35.434.2
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
836
#5
45.31.2
42.643.8
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 17.8
611
#9
27.51.2
28.627.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Third
6326
#36
19.61.2
17.018.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 7.5
1885
#34
27.21.2
28.327.2
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2