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Red111
823023.9
903330.5
533842.9
Blue153
83645.3
632619.6
62051.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912150150200111153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +25
0Leave6
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points31
12Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
85Total teleop98
Reef
8L4#14
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
111Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#19
42.90.3
42.542.9
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
blue by 8.8
620
#2
51.70.6
50.250.8
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
Second
9033
#12
30.50.3
30.230.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
blue by 14.8
836
#5
45.30.6
43.844.4
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
Third
23.90.3
23.523.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
red by 4.2
6326
#36
19.60.6
18.118.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9