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Red188
42275.7
289020.7
162959.2
Blue158
859257.4
335922.7
97740.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712050100150200250188158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+40Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +9
26Coral scored#21
94Coral points77
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
120Total teleop111
Reef
15L4#10
8L3#4
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
188Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.70.8
74.975.7
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 18.3
57.40.9
56.557.4
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
Second
59.20.8
58.459.2
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 19.1
977
#4
40.10.9
39.240.1
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Third
2890
#19
20.70.8
20.020.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 2.0
3359
#22
22.70.9
21.822.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2