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Red166
42275.7
289020.7
162959.2
Blue125
859257.4
335922.7
97740.1
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612050100150200250166125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
24Coral scored#18
86Coral points64
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
106Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#7
10L3#6
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points2
166Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.70.3
74.674.9
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 18.3
57.40.1
56.456.5
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
Second
59.20.3
58.158.4
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 19.1
977
#4
40.10.1
39.139.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Third
2890
#19
20.70.3
19.620.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 2.0
3359
#22
22.70.1
21.721.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2