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Red149
859257.4
335922.7
97740.1
Blue103
680236.7
61928.2
580442.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126119050100150200250300149103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
100Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
149Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.8
55.656.4
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
red by 14.9
5804
#10
42.50.1
42.642.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
977
#4
40.10.8
38.439.1
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
red by 3.4
36.70.1
36.936.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
3359
#22
22.70.8
20.921.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
blue by 5.5
619
#26
28.20.1
28.328.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3