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Red101
126237.4
393931.6
53928.3
Blue149
680236.7
61928.2
580442.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105120406080140160180101149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points67
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
18Processor points24
16Net points12
34Algae points36
88Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
101Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.1
37.537.4
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
blue by 5.1
5804
#10
42.50.8
41.742.6
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
3939
#21
31.60.1
31.731.6
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 5.2
36.70.8
36.036.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
539
#7
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
red by 0.1
619
#26
28.20.8
27.528.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3