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Red54
680236.7
54024.6
289020.7
Blue79
61712.6
53928.3
40133.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7576556065708085905479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+37
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +22
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
26Total teleop48
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
54Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.1
26.425.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
red by 3.4
401
#17
33.30.7
42.543.2
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
540
#23
24.61.1
24.423.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 3.7
539
#7
28.30.7
16.417.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
Third
2890
#19
20.71.1
14.413.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 8.1
617
#30
12.60.7
7.27.8
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed