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Red126
159934.4
162959.2
61928.2
Blue82
97740.1
307217.1
900330.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104815015012682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+36Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
75Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
126Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.22.1
50.652.7
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 19.1
977
#4
40.10.4
31.932.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Second
34.42.1
23.125.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
red by 4.2
9003
#15
30.20.4
26.326.6
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
619
#26
28.22.1
20.322.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
red by 11.1
3072
#25
17.10.4
18.518.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed