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Red98
900330.2
393931.6
409936.4
Blue95
126237.4
580442.5
191518.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91780501502002503003504009895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +25
18Coral scored#12
65Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
83Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
98Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.4
35.235.6
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
blue by 6.1
5804
#10
42.50.7
33.534.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
3939
#21
31.60.4
20.220.6
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 5.8
37.40.7
24.224.8
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Third
9003
#15
30.20.4
26.627.0
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 11.5
1915
#13
18.70.7
15.516.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned