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Red111
40133.3
162959.2
97740.1
Blue38
171913.1
61712.6
583024.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1472405010020025011138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+55Teleop
+67Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
0Leave0
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
52Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points0
111Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.5
52.751.2
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 34.9
5830
#12
24.30.1
14.514.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Second
977
#4
40.11.5
32.230.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
red by 27.0
1719
#31
13.10.1
16.916.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
401
#17
33.31.5
43.241.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 20.7
617
#30
12.60.1
7.87.8
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed