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Red140
97740.1
335922.7
859257.4
Blue109
152234.0
1037020.9
61928.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136750100150200140109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+13Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
93Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#7
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
140Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.42.1
46.348.4
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
red by 23.4
1522
#18
34.02.2
27.830.0
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
Second
977
#4
40.12.1
30.732.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
red by 11.9
619
#26
28.22.2
21.323.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
3359
#22
22.72.1
19.922.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 1.9
20.92.2
15.217.5
Auto2.7
Teleop16.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed