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Red117
289020.7
40133.3
126237.4
Blue74
1025719.9
307217.1
162959.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8097406012014011774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
7Coral scored#6
33Coral points30
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
117Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.5
27.530.0
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
blue by 21.8
59.20.9
53.452.5
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Second
401
#17
33.32.5
39.341.8
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 13.4
19.90.9
15.314.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Third
2890
#19
20.72.5
9.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 3.6
3072
#25
17.10.9
18.617.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed