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Red52
393931.6
191518.7
202828.3
Blue88
580442.5
583024.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7377405060901001105288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
37Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
52Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3939
#21
31.60.8
21.520.7
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
blue by 10.9
5804
#10
42.51.4
35.136.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
2028
#20
28.30.8
24.924.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
red by 4.0
5830
#12
24.31.4
16.117.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Third
1915
#13
18.70.8
17.817.0
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
red by 9.1
9.61.4
16.117.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed