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Red69
54024.6
409936.4
171913.1
Blue76
572422.3
900330.2
53928.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90760501502002506976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
56Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
69Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.8
35.534.7
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
red by 6.2
9003
#15
30.20.4
27.928.3
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
540
#23
24.60.8
25.424.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 3.7
539
#7
28.30.4
19.720.1
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
Third
1719
#31
13.10.8
17.616.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 9.2
5724
#11
22.30.4
19.820.2
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed