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Red196
42275.7
680236.7
313646.5
Blue96
325818.8
335922.7
61928.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152625010020019696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+74Teleop
+106Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +43
24Coral scored#14
88Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
116Total teleop73
Reef
13L4#5
8L3#4
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#20
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points6
196Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.73.2
62.365.5
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 47.5
619
#26
28.20.1
23.523.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Second
46.53.2
36.739.8
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
red by 23.8
3359
#22
22.70.1
22.022.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Third
36.73.2
28.731.9
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
red by 17.9
3258
#28
18.80.1
19.019.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed