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Red124
393931.6
126237.4
152234.0
Blue42
191518.7
171913.1
40133.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88836010012012442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+82Teleop
+80Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
20Coral scored#7
73Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
93Total teleop29
Reef
11L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points0
124Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.42.4
30.032.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
red by 4.1
401
#17
33.32.4
41.839.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
1522
#18
34.02.4
30.032.4
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
red by 15.3
1915
#13
18.72.4
17.014.6
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
Third
3939
#21
31.62.4
20.723.1
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
red by 18.5
1719
#31
13.12.4
16.814.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed