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Red56
325818.8
54024.6
Blue187
42275.7
162959.2
572422.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56165010015020025056187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+115
Endgame+117
Fouls+131
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave6
1Coral scored#8
3Coral points38
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +80
8Coral scored#23
29Coral points83
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
0Processor points18
8Net points16
8Algae points34
37Total teleop117
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#8
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#6
11Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +131
6Foul points20
56Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#23
24.60.9
24.623.6
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
blue by 51.1
422
#1
75.71.3
65.566.8
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
Second
3258
#28
18.80.9
19.118.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
blue by 40.4
59.21.3
52.553.9
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
Third
9.60.9
17.516.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 12.7
5724
#11
22.31.3
20.221.6
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned