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Red100
583024.3
313646.5
307217.1
Blue119
202828.3
900330.2
580442.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811034060120140160100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points65
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
61Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
100Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.7
39.841.5
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
red by 4.0
5804
#10
42.52.0
36.538.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
5830
#12
24.31.7
17.419.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
blue by 5.9
9003
#15
30.22.0
28.330.3
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
3072
#25
17.11.7
17.819.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 11.2
2028
#20
28.32.0
24.126.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed