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Red106
289020.7
61928.2
336120.0
Blue73
159934.4
335922.7
1037020.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5384020406010012014016010673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
18Processor points0
8Net points12
26Algae points12
73Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
6Foul points0
106Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#26
28.23.3
23.626.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 6.2
34.40.2
27.827.6
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
Second
2890
#19
20.73.3
12.315.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
blue by 2.0
3359
#22
22.70.2
22.122.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Third
3361
#16
20.03.3
11.614.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 0.9
20.90.2
19.419.3
Auto2.7
Teleop16.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned