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Red92
126237.4
572422.3
61712.6
Blue105
307217.1
42275.7
191518.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631185010015020092105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
18Processor points12
8Net points8
26Algae points20
71Total teleop59
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points0
92Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.41.3
32.333.6
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
blue by 38.3
422
#1
75.70.3
66.867.1
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
Second
5724
#11
22.31.3
21.622.8
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 3.6
1915
#13
18.70.3
14.614.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
Third
617
#30
12.61.3
10.712.0
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 4.5
3072
#25
17.10.3
19.419.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned