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Red111
313646.5
152234.0
Blue129
583024.3
859257.4
393931.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10397050150200250111129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
74Total teleop99
Reef
5L4#10
6L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
111Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.51.4
41.542.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
blue by 10.9
57.42.5
48.651.2
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
Second
1522
#18
34.01.4
32.433.8
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
red by 2.4
3939
#21
31.62.5
23.125.6
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Third
9.61.4
16.517.9
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 14.7
5830
#12
24.32.5
19.121.7
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsEarned