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Red75
572422.3
583024.3
680236.7
Blue56
1037020.9
53928.3
289020.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665001002003004007556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +12
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
75Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.3
25.126.4
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
red by 8.4
539
#7
28.30.4
16.016.4
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
Second
5830
#12
24.31.2
11.412.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
red by 3.5
20.90.4
14.715.1
Auto2.7
Teleop16.0
End2.1
Third
5724
#11
22.31.2
17.618.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 1.6
2890
#19
20.70.4
12.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed