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Red149
900330.2
152234.0
42275.7
Blue131
859257.4
126237.4
61928.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11485050100150200250300149131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Coral scored#18
73Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
97Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#9
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
149Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.72.8
56.559.3
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 18.3
57.43.4
41.845.2
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
Second
1522
#18
34.03.1
19.422.5
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
blue by 3.4
37.44.1
21.325.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Third
9003
#15
30.22.8
25.127.9
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 2.0
619
#26
28.23.4
17.020.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned