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Red84
191518.7
336120.0
40133.3
Blue53
335922.7
171913.1
202828.3
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68715560657580858453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +30
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
6Processor points6
12Net points0
18Algae points6
60Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
2Foul points0
84Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#17
33.31.2
39.941.1
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
red by 5.0
2028
#20
28.30.7
25.825.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
Second
3361
#16
20.01.2
7.28.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 2.7
3359
#22
22.70.7
18.417.6
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Third
1915
#13
18.71.2
14.315.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
red by 5.6
1719
#31
13.10.7
17.016.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed