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Red72
53928.3
61712.6
Blue72
580442.5
325818.8
680236.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40950501507272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
48Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
72Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#7
28.3
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
blue by 14.1
5804
#10
42.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
617
#30
12.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 24.1
36.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
9.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 9.2
3258
#28
18.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned