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Red89
53928.3
191518.7
159934.4
Blue70
335922.7
1025719.9
152234.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779040601001201408970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
57Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
89Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.5
28.630.1
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
red by 0.4
1522
#18
34.00.3
33.833.5
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
Second
539
#7
28.31.5
22.824.3
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
red by 5.6
3359
#22
22.70.3
22.021.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Third
1915
#13
18.71.5
14.916.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 1.2
19.90.3
18.217.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed