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Red108
680236.7
572422.3
171913.1
Blue105
393931.6
1037020.9
313646.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74974060120140160108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points57
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
83Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
108Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.72.1
29.832.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
blue by 9.8
46.50.7
42.943.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
Second
5724
#11
22.32.1
22.825.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
blue by 9.3
3939
#21
31.60.7
25.626.3
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Third
1719
#31
13.12.1
15.317.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
blue by 7.7
20.90.7
16.917.6
Auto2.7
Teleop16.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned