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Red130
859257.4
42275.7
Blue128
61928.2
40133.3
580442.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15010150200130128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+10Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
65Total teleop50
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points8
130Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
75.70.8
67.166.3
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
red by 33.2
5804
#10
42.51.0
37.238.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
Second
57.40.8
51.250.4
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
red by 24.1
401
#17
33.31.0
38.039.0
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Third
9.60.8
17.917.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 18.6
619
#26
28.21.0
25.226.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned