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Red148
162959.2
126237.4
325818.8
Blue132
409936.4
336120.0
335922.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1236950100150200148132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +29
28Coral scored#16
99Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
119Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#6
11L3#5
6L2#4
8L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
2Foul points24
148Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.8
55.056.8
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 22.8
4099
#24
36.41.8
31.333.1
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
Second
37.41.8
33.635.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
red by 14.7
3359
#22
22.71.8
21.723.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
Third
3258
#28
18.81.8
15.717.6
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
blue by 1.2
3361
#16
20.01.8
13.915.7
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed