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Red87
53928.3
202828.3
307217.1
Blue83
54024.6
61712.6
97740.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72746065708085908783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+18Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#8
46Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
66Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
87Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#7
28.31.2
24.325.6
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
blue by 11.8
977
#4
40.10.9
36.637.5
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Second
2028
#20
28.31.2
24.325.6
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
red by 3.7
540
#23
24.60.9
22.323.2
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Third
3072
#25
17.11.2
19.720.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 4.5
617
#30
12.60.9
10.311.2
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned