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Red68
325818.8
61712.6
900330.2
Blue124
61928.2
1025719.9
313646.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6710320408012014016018068124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
12Processor points6
4Net points16
16Algae points22
52Total teleop84
Reef
3L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
68Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9003
#15
30.20.1
29.930.0
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 16.3
46.52.3
43.345.6
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
Second
3258
#28
18.80.1
18.818.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
blue by 9.4
619
#26
28.22.3
24.026.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
617
#30
12.60.1
11.311.5
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 7.3
19.92.3
17.219.5
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned