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Red109
580442.5
409936.4
289020.7
Blue135
336120.0
126237.4
680236.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9798708090110120130140109135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points19
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +45
14Coral scored#18
49Coral points66
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
0Processor points12
16Net points32
16Algae points44
65Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#8
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#32
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
109Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#10
42.50.6
39.239.9
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
red by 5.1
37.42.6
37.640.2
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Second
4099
#24
36.40.6
35.235.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
blue by 0.4
36.72.6
32.134.7
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
Third
2890
#19
20.70.6
17.017.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
red by 0.7
3361
#16
20.02.6
16.919.5
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsMissed