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Red12
335922.7
40133.3
Blue70
572422.3
307217.1
159934.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93852040601201401601801270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+46
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +43
1Coral scored#9
2Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
2Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
12Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#17
33.34.7
41.436.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
blue by 1.1
34.40.6
34.634.0
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End9.7
Second
3359
#22
22.74.7
24.720.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 0.4
5724
#11
22.30.6
22.822.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
Third
9.64.7
16.311.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
blue by 7.4
3072
#25
17.10.6
21.120.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned