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Red119
583024.3
191518.7
162959.2
Blue77
61928.2
54024.6
393931.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106895015020011977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+38Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
85Total teleop68
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
119Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.7
55.457.2
Auto20.2
Teleop37.0
End2.0
red by 27.6
3939
#21
31.60.3
31.331.0
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Second
5830
#12
24.31.7
21.723.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.1
End2.7
blue by 3.9
619
#26
28.20.3
26.326.0
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
Third
1915
#13
18.71.7
16.117.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.9
blue by 5.9
540
#23
24.60.3
24.023.7
Auto1.3
Teleop22.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed