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Red217
859257.4
53928.3
1037020.9
Blue67
202828.3
1025719.9
325818.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116725010015020021767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+150Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
17Coral scored#10
61Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +150
96Foul points2
217Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.41.5
52.954.4
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
red by 29.1
2028
#20
28.30.1
28.428.3
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
Second
539
#7
28.31.5
26.227.7
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4
red by 8.4
19.90.1
19.519.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.2
Third
20.91.5
19.420.9
Auto2.7
Teleop16.0
End2.1
red by 2.0
3258
#28
18.80.1
18.918.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed