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Red87
680236.7
900330.2
335922.7
Blue40
171913.1
97740.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103720501508740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+55Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +51
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
65Total teleop14
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
87Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.3
34.734.5
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
blue by 3.4
977
#4
40.11.9
39.137.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
Second
9003
#15
30.20.3
30.029.8
Auto4.8
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 17.1
1719
#31
13.11.9
15.013.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
3359
#22
22.70.3
20.019.8
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 13.1
9.61.9
11.69.6
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned