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Red97
152234.0
572422.3
409936.4
Blue122
61712.6
289020.7
42275.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98110608012014016097122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+13
Endgame+27
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
16Coral scored#16
59Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
77Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
2Foul points0
97Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#24
36.40.1
35.936.0
Auto7.2
Teleop27.7
End1.5
blue by 39.3
422
#1
75.71.2
72.573.6
Auto16.7
Teleop48.0
End10.9
Second
1522
#18
34.00.1
33.433.4
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End1.4
red by 13.3
2890
#19
20.71.2
17.618.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.0
End1.8
Third
5724
#11
22.30.1
22.322.3
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5
red by 9.7
617
#30
12.61.2
11.512.6
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned