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Red119
336120.0
313646.5
580442.5
Blue73
40133.3
307217.1
126237.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410140608012014016011973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
69Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points24
119Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.50.3
45.645.9
Auto11.3
Teleop26.9
End8.3
red by 9.1
37.43.4
40.236.8
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Second
5804
#10
42.50.3
39.940.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
red by 9.2
401
#17
33.33.4
36.733.3
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Third
3361
#16
20.00.3
19.519.9
Auto3.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
red by 2.9
3072
#25
17.13.4
20.517.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned