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Red132
680236.7
61928.2
580442.5
Blue92
126237.4
393931.6
53928.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141025015020013292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
18Processor points12
16Net points8
34Algae points20
84Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
132Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#10
42.50.6
40.240.8
Auto9.6
Teleop28.0
End4.9
red by 5.1
37.40.1
36.836.7
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End1.6
Second
36.70.6
34.535.1
Auto5.5
Teleop24.4
End6.9
red by 5.2
3939
#21
31.60.1
31.030.9
Auto4.4
Teleop27.4
End-0.2
Third
619
#26
28.20.6
26.026.6
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End3.3
blue by 0.1
539
#7
28.30.1
27.727.6
Auto6.7
Teleop20.3
End1.4