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Red136
859257.4
335922.7
97740.1
Blue101
40133.3
202828.3
572422.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12587050100150200136101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points27
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
107Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#9
7L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
136Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.40.5
54.455.0
Auto11.6
Teleop37.5
End8.2
red by 24.1
401
#17
33.30.4
33.333.7
Auto10.7
Teleop18.8
End3.9
Second
977
#4
40.10.5
37.237.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.1
End7.8
red by 11.9
2028
#20
28.30.4
28.328.7
Auto7.2
Teleop20.0
End1.1
Third
3359
#22
22.70.5
19.820.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.0
End1.2
red by 0.4
5724
#11
22.30.4
22.322.7
Auto3.6
Teleop17.2
End1.5